In August 2025, the Canadian used wholesale market continued its downward adjustment, with prices falling nearly 1% across the month. Cars and trucks both declined around 0.9%, though performance varied by category. Mid-Size Cars, Sub-Compact Cars, Sporty Cars, and Prestige Luxury models saw the steepest losses, while Compact and Luxury Cars registered smaller dips and Full-Size Cars posted modest gains. On the truck and SUV side, Sub-Compact Crossovers, Full-Size Pickups, Compact Vans, and Full-Size Vans recorded the sharpest declines, though Small Pickups and Compact Vans occasionally provided stability. Auction sale rates fluctuated widely, averaging 38–43%, as sellers held firm on pricing amid economic uncertainty, while upstream channels continued to secure frontline-ready vehicles before they reached auctions. Retail pricing softened only slightly, with the national average listing price easing from $37,700 to $37,500.
Broader economic conditions shaped these trends. The Bank of Canada held rates at 2.75% as inflation cooled to 1.7%, unemployment stayed at 6.9%, and wage growth slowed to 3.3%. Trade improved modestly, but retail sales and new home prices weakened, even as housing starts rose. The Canadian dollar slipped to $0.723 USD while bond yields hovered around 3.4%. Meanwhile, the 2025 Vehicle Depreciation Report from Canadian Black Book and Fitch Ratings signaled a return toward more normal market conditions, with depreciation easing but still above pre-pandemic levels, alongside affordability pressures, shifting demand across segments, and the increasing influence of EVs.
U.S. Auto Dealers Maintain Steady Outlook in Q3 2025 Despite Slowing Traffic and Profit Pressures
In Q3 2025, U.S. auto dealers reported steady but cautious sentiment despite slowing traffic and weakening profitability, according to the Cox Automotive Dealer Sentiment Index (CADSI). The overall market index stood at 43, up slightly from Q2 but still below the neutral 50 threshold, signaling more dealers view the market as weak than strong. Franchised dealers reported stronger confidence (53) than independents (39), though both groups face ongoing cost pressures and softer customer demand.
Canadian New Vehicle Sales Rise in July, Led by Strong Gains in Ontario and Atlantic Provinces
Canada’s new light vehicle market showed strength in July 2025, with sales up 6.9% year over year to an estimated 172,000 units, bringing year-to-date sales to 1.15 million, a 5.8% increase.