June Auto Sales Strength Continues as Economic Signals Remain Mixed
The U.S. auto market posted its strongest performance of the year in June, with new-vehicle sales reaching a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 16.5 million units, up 4.4% from a year ago. Fleet sales were a key contributor, increasing 10% year over year, while commercial fleet deliveries climbed 8% through the first half of 2026. Hybrid vehicles also continued gaining momentum, accounting for approximately 18% of new-vehicle sales as demand remained strong despite limited inventory. Although overall sales have proven resilient, much of the demand continues to be supported by higher-income consumers benefiting from strong equity markets, while affordability challenges persist for many households.
For fleet operators, the broader economic picture remains mixed. Job growth slowed significantly in June, consumer confidence remains below historical averages, and concerns about the labor market continue to rise despite a low unemployment rate. Housing prices have also lagged inflation for nearly a year, highlighting continued pressure on household finances. While easing fuel prices and stable fleet demand are positive signs, elevated borrowing costs and slower income growth suggest fleets should continue taking a disciplined approach to acquisition planning, monitoring financing costs, and securing high-demand hybrid models early as inventory remains constrained.
Wholesale Used Vehicle Prices Remain Stable as Market Finds Balance
Wholesale used-vehicle prices remained resilient in June, with the Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index rising 2.1% year over year and holding essentially flat from May. After peaking during the strong spring tax-refund season, values have settled into a more typical seasonal pattern while dealer demand remains healthy. Sales conversion rates continue to run above historical averages, indicating steady wholesale demand, and overall supply remains within normal seasonal levels. Older, more affordable vehicles continue to outperform as buyers remain focused on value.
Subaru MY26 Forester Orders Closing Soon
Subaru has announced that order banks for the 2026 Forester, including both gasoline and hybrid models, are expected to close in approximately one month. Fleet customers with outstanding orders are encouraged to submit them as soon as possible to avoid missing the final production window. Looking ahead, Subaru expects to open order banks for the 2027 Outback in mid-September.