In the third quarter, the Canadian light vehicle market experienced several notable shifts at the segment level. The subcompact car segment, which had shown significant growth in the first half of the year, saw sales decline by 33.7% in Q3. This pullback caused the segment to fall out of the top three year-to-date performers from a percentage growth perspective. In contrast, the intermediate car segment showed a remarkable turnaround, with sales rising 43.3% during the quarter, driven by strong performances from the Toyota Prius and Camry after a weak start to the year.
The top three performing segments year-to-date were small pickups, small vans, and compact luxury cars, with growth rates of 38.9%, 38.6%, and 31.8% respectively. Growth in the small pickup segment was widespread across most models, while the small van segment saw strong gains led by the Chrysler Pacifica. On the other hand, the weakest performances came from the luxury car segment, which dropped 46.9%, and the sports car segment, which fell 18.8%. Andrew King, Managing Partner at DAC, attributed these declines to ongoing trade conflicts and regulatory changes that have disrupted the market. He noted that the luxury segment’s decline was largely driven by a collapse in Tesla Model 3 sales, which significantly distorted overall performance in that category.

Global Oil Prices Expected to Decline as Production Rises Through 2026
Global oil market conditions are projected to ease through 2026 as inventories rise and production expands, leading to lower prices. The EIA forecasts Brent crude to average around $62 per barrel in late 2025 and $52 in 2026, reflecting a notable drop from recent highs. Most of the production growth will come from non-OPEC+ countries, while OPEC+ members gradually increase output as previous cuts are lifted. In the U.S., crude oil production is expected to remain near record levels at about 13.5 million barrels per day, driven by consistent output from the Gulf of Mexico. As a result, gasoline and diesel prices are likely to stabilize at lower levels, though OPEC+’s production discipline may slow the decline.
Canadian Used Vehicle Market Sees Steady Price Declines Amid Economic Softening – September 2025 Overview
In September, the Canadian used wholesale market experienced a steady downward trend, with weekly price declines ranging from 0.16% to 0.29%. This consistent softening reflects ongoing market adjustments and seasonal normalization, with only minor weekly fluctuations observed. The car segment saw weekly depreciations between 0.12% and 0.23%, with nearly all categories following this downward trajectory. Full-Size Cars led the declines, dropping by as much as 1.62%, while Premium Sporty, Near Luxury, and Luxury Cars showed the most resilience, with only slight decreases between 0.01% and 0.12%. Similarly, the truck and SUV segment experienced broad-based declines, with weekly depreciations ranging from 0.22% to 0.57%. Full-Size Luxury Crossover/SUV, Full-Size Van, and Minivan categories were the most affected, posting drops of up to 0.86%, though Full-Size Crossover/SUV occasionally demonstrated modest gains under 0.15%.